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Asswehly vs Esperance Tunis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Misurata Stadium, Misrata
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Ayed A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Asswehly in this CAF Champions League tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Asswehly
15%
Draws
41%
Esperance Tunis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asswehly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asswehly lately — more wins on the board than Esperance Tunis.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Asswehly have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 68%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asswehly Esperance Tunis
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 21 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.82 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.46 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asswehly 41 / 100
Esperance Tunis 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asswehly Esperance Tunis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asswehly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asswehly's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Asswehly stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Esperance Tunis let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Esperance Tunis's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Asswehly VS Esperance Tunis
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
29% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asswehly

(Home)
18 Oct
Asswehly
1 : 0
Esperance Tunis
13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3
Asswehly
04 Sept
Asswehly
1 : 0
KVZ
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
Page 1 of 6

Esperance Tunis

(Away)
18 Oct
Asswehly
1 : 0
Esperance Tunis
10 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Olympique Beja
04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Military Union
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 0
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 1
15 de Agosto -
Simba -
CFFA 0
Young Africans 4
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 0
APR 0
Zamalek 1
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 1
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 2
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 2
Maghreb Fez 1
ASEC Mimosas 1
Teungueth 0
Colombe 2
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 0
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 1
Horoya 1
Al Merreikh 0
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 1