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Asteras Karditsa vs Evosmou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Asteras Karditsa and Evosmou finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asteras Karditsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Asteras Karditsa
20%
Draws
10%
Evosmou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asteras Karditsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Asteras Karditsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Asteras Karditsa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Asteras Karditsa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Asteras Karditsa Clean Sheet 18%
Evosmou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Karditsa Evosmou
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.22 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Karditsa vs Evosmou
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Evosmou vs Asteras Karditsa
0:4
Nov 9, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Karditsa vs Evosmou
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Karditsa 85 / 100
Evosmou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Karditsa Evosmou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Karditsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evosmou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Asteras Karditsa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Asteras Karditsa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Karditsa VS Evosmou
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Karditsa

(Home)
08 Apr
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Akrites Sykeon
05 Apr
Kozani FC
2 : 0
Asteras Karditsa
01 Apr
Asteras Karditsa
0 : 0
Eordaikos
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Sarakinos Volos
6 : 1
Asteras Karditsa
Page 1 of 6

Evosmou

(Away)
08 Apr
Evosmou
0 : 3
Eordaikos
05 Apr
Evosmou
2 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)