Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Stavrou vs Elassona

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elassona in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elassona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Asteras Stavrou
30%
Draws
31%
Elassona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asteras Stavrou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Asteras Stavrou average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Elassona's 1.17.
  • Model gives Asteras Stavrou a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 20%
Elassona Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Stavrou Elassona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Asteras Stavrou
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Elassona
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Asteras Stavrou
2:2
Aug 26, 2023 Greek Cup
Asteras Stavrou vs Elassona
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Stavrou 40 / 100
Elassona 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Stavrou Elassona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Stavrou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Stavrou found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Elassona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Asteras Stavrou has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Stavrou VS Elassona
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Stavrou

(Home)
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

Elassona

(Away)
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
29 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 1
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)