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Asteras Stavrou vs Thesprotos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asteras Stavrou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Stavrou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Asteras Stavrou
20%
Draws
0%
Thesprotos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asteras Stavrou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Thesprotos haven't matched Asteras Stavrou's recent run of results.
  • Asteras Stavrou are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Asteras Stavrou have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 20%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Stavrou Thesprotos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 1.4 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Thesprotos
3:0
Oct 1, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Asteras Stavrou
1:5
Apr 7, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Stavrou vs Thesprotos
0:0
Dec 3, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Thesprotos vs Asteras Stavrou
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Stavrou 85 / 100
Thesprotos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Stavrou Thesprotos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Stavrou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thesprotos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Thesprotos has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Asteras Stavrou scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Stavrou VS Thesprotos
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Stavrou

(Home)
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

Thesprotos

(Away)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)