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Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Larnaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Silva J.
37'
Sub
Paraskevas A. In: Muftic V.
Out: Paraskevas A.
57' Event
Ivanovic D.

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Asteras Tripolis
30%
Draws
51%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis haven't matched AEK Larnaca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AEK Larnaca a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 14%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Larnaca
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricardinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 10 / 100
AEK Larnaca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Asteras Tripolis scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

AEK Larnaca let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Asteras Tripolis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS AEK Larnaca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
01 Nov
PAOK
2 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
27 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Kifisia
24 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Levadiakos
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
10 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Atromitos
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AEK Larnaca

(Away)
31 Oct
Krasava
2 : 2
AEK Larnaca
26 Oct
AEK Larnaca
2 : 0
Omonia
21 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 2
Akritas Chloraka
18 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 1
AEK Larnaca
12 Oct
AEK Larnaca
1 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
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