Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Larnaca

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Silva J.
37'
Sub
Paraskevas A. In: Muftic V.
Out: Paraskevas A.
57' Event
Ivanovic D.

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Asteras Tripolis
20%
Draws
51%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis haven't matched AEK Larnaca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AEK Larnaca a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 12%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Larnaca
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricardinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 27 / 100
AEK Larnaca 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Asteras Tripolis scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

AEK Larnaca let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Asteras Tripolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS AEK Larnaca
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
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AEK Larnaca

(Away)
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
21 Aug
AEK Larnaca
5 : 2
Omonia 29th May
12 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 1
AEK Larnaca
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