Sport Picks
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris
Greece
Greek Cup Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli 
Match Events
8'
8'
Silva J.
46'
46'
Sub
Garcia M. In: Gianniotas G.
Out: Garcia M.
46'
46'
Sub
Palacios S. In: Garre B.
Out: Palacios S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Asteras Tripolis haven't matched Aris's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Aris arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aris, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 16%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asteras Tripolis | Aris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 Greek Cup
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Aris
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Aris vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
May 10, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Asteras Tripolis
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asteras Tripolis Compare
Top Goalscorer Macheda F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Aris Compare
Top Goalscorer Moron L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asteras Tripolis 30 / 100
Aris 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asteras Tripolis Aris
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Asteras Tripolis scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
Aris let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Asteras Tripolis remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Asteras Tripolis VS Aris
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Asteras Tripolis
(Home) 10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 Iraklis FC
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1 Asteras Tripolis
18 Aug
Levadiakos
0 : 3 Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 Iraklis FC
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
12 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 1 AEK Larnaca
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 Kifisia
Page 1 of 3
Aris
(Away) 10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0 Aris
30 Aug
Aris
2 : 1 OFI Crete
22 Aug
Kalamata
2 : 3 Aris
17 Aug
Karditsa
0 : 2 Aris
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0 Aris
22 Aug
Kalamata
2 : 3 Aris
17 Aug
Karditsa
0 : 2 Aris
12 Aug
Napoli
6 : 2 Aris
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 3 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Atromitos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Marko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Aris | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | PAOK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Volos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Niki Volos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | AEL Larissa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Chrisoupolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
