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Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
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Match Events

8' Event
Barcenas Y.
46'
Sub
Ketu K. In: Papakanellos A.
Out: Ketu K.
46'
Sub
Ricardinho In: Macheda F.
Out: Ricardinho

AI Match Summary

Iraklis FC in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iraklis FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Asteras Tripolis
35%
Draws
32%
Iraklis FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Iraklis FC have won more games recently than Asteras Tripolis.
  • Model gives Asteras Tripolis a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 20%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Iraklis FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis FC
0:2
Apr 30, 2017 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis FC
2:2
Dec 18, 2016 Super League
Iraklis FC vs Asteras Tripolis
1:1
Apr 3, 2016 Super League
Iraklis FC vs Asteras Tripolis
0:1
Dec 5, 2015 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Iraklis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcenas Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 36 / 100
Iraklis FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Iraklis FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Tripolis's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Asteras Tripolis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Iraklis FC conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Iraklis FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
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Iraklis FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
29 Aug
Volos
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
22 Aug
AEK
4 : 0
Iraklis FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)