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Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis host Kalamata in the Super League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Asteras Tripolis have averaged 1.23 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Kalamata's 1.79 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Asteras Tripolis have won 2 to Kalamata's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 12, 2007, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.69) back Kalamata to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Asteras Tripolis
30%
Draws
39%
Kalamata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kalamata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kalamata lately — more wins on the board than Asteras Tripolis.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 13%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Kalamata
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 19
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2007 Football League
Kalamata vs Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Dec 17, 2006 Football League
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 31 / 100
Kalamata 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Kalamata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Asteras Tripolis scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Asteras Tripolis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kalamata conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Kalamata
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
10 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Atromitos
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
Page 1 of 6

Kalamata

(Away)
18 Oct
Kalamata
4 : 3
OFI Crete
12 Oct
PAOK
1 : 3
Kalamata
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Kalamata
3 : 1
Volos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 7 5 1 1 7:2 16
3 PAOK 7 5 0 2 15:9 15
4 AEK 6 4 2 0 16:3 14
5 Aris 7 4 1 2 10:13 13
6 Kalamata 7 3 1 3 13:12 10
7 OFI Crete 7 3 1 3 11:11 10
8 Iraklis FC 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
9 Panetolikos 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
10 Kifisia 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Asteras Tripolis 7 1 2 4 7:15 5
12 Atromitos 6 0 2 4 5:9 2
13 Levadiakos 7 0 2 5 0:11 2
14 Volos 7 0 3 4 6:12 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)