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Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Asteras Tripolis Logo

Asteras Tripolis

0 - 1
FT
Olympiacos Piraeus Logo

Olympiacos Piraeus

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Retsos P.
31' Event
Silva J.
Assist: Saliakas M.
39'
Ketu K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Asteras Tripolis and Olympiacos Piraeus finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olympiacos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Asteras Tripolis
35%
Draws
34%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Asteras Tripolis's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Olympiacos Piraeus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:3
Sep 24, 2025 Greek Cup
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Asteras Tripolis
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Asteras Tripolis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 59 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Asteras Tripolis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Asteras Tripolis scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Olympiacos Piraeus has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Olympiacos Piraeus
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
10 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Atromitos
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
Page 1 of 6

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 AEK 6 4 2 0 16:3 14
3 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
4 OFI Crete 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Asteras Tripolis 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
11 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Atromitos 6 0 2 4 5:9 2
13 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
14 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 -1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)