Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Farley Rosa
Assist: Aguirre J.
17' Event
Bartolo J.
49'
Aguirre J.

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Asteras Tripolis
22%
Draws
18%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Asteras Tripolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asteras Tripolis lately — more wins on the board than Panetolikos.
  • Asteras Tripolis are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartolo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Macheda F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Farley Rosa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 68 / 100
Panetolikos 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Asteras Tripolis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Asteras Tripolis found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Panetolikos
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

Panetolikos

(Away)
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
9Atromitos3612101449:4246
10Kifisia369141340:5141
11Asteras Tripolis368121636:4936
12Panetolikos36991835:5136
13AEL Larissa365151634:5630
14Panserraikos36782125:7329
Relegation - Super League 2 2026/2027 (Main)