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Stadium Background

Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Farley Rosa
Assist: Aguirre J.
17' Event
Bartolo J.
49'
Aguirre J.

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Asteras Tripolis
30%
Draws
42%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panetolikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asteras Tripolis lately — more wins on the board than Panetolikos.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
May 21, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartolo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Macheda F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Farley Rosa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 41 / 100
Panetolikos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Asteras Tripolis found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Asteras Tripolis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Panetolikos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
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Panetolikos

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 (Main)