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Asti Calcio vs Alba

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Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Valenti D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Asti Calcio and Alba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Asti Calcio
20%
Draws
33%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Asti Calcio have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Alba are scoring more at 0.97.
  • Win probability leans Asti Calcio's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Alba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio Alba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Alba
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Asti Calcio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Alba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 59 / 100
Alba 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alba conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Asti Calcio scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Asti Calcio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)