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Asti Calcio vs Borgosesia Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cum G.
44' Event
Cum G.
84' Event
Berni A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Asti Calcio and Borgosesia Calcio finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borgosesia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Asti Calcio
15%
Draws
39%
Borgosesia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Borgosesia Calcio haven't matched Asti Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Borgosesia Calcio a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio Borgosesia Calcio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:3
Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Asti Calcio
0:1
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Borgosesia Calcio
4:0
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Asti Calcio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Cum G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 28 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio Borgosesia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borgosesia Calcio conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Asti Calcio's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Asti Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS Borgosesia Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
31 Oct
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Asti Calcio
25 Oct
Asti Calcio
0 : 3
Borgosesia Calcio
18 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
11 Oct
Asti Calcio
0 : 1
GSD Lascaris
04 Oct
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Millesimo
Page 1 of 6

Borgosesia Calcio

(Away)
01 Nov
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 3
Alessandria
25 Oct
Asti Calcio
0 : 3
Borgosesia Calcio
18 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
4 : 2
Imperia Calcio
11 Oct
Millesimo
3 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)