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Asti Calcio vs Celle Varazze

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Donaggio L.
71' Event
Di Maira F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Asti Calcio and Celle Varazze finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Asti Calcio
15%
Draws
34%
Celle Varazze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celle Varazze come out ahead of Asti Calcio on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio Celle Varazze
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Celle Varazze
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Asti Calcio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Maira F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Donaggio L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 41 / 100
Celle Varazze 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio Celle Varazze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asti Calcio's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Celle Varazze's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Asti Calcio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS Celle Varazze
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 7

Celle Varazze

(Away)
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)