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Asti Calcio vs Fossano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Valenti D.
29' Event
Valenti D.
81' Event
Diop M.

AI Match Summary

Asti Calcio in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Asti Calcio
15%
Draws
0%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Asti Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Fossano.
  • Win probability leans Asti Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Fossano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio Fossano
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.12 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Fossano
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Asti Calcio
2:2
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Asti Calcio
1:2
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Fossano
2:0
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Asti Calcio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diop M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Fossano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 85 / 100
Fossano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Fossano lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Asti Calcio scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
Page 1 of 7

Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)