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Asti Calcio vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mana M.
45' Event
Moreo R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Asti Calcio in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Asti Calcio
20%
Draws
29%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gozzano lately — more wins on the board than Asti Calcio.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio Gozzano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Gozzano
2:0
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Gozzano
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Asti Calcio
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Asti Calcio
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Gozzano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mana M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gozzano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 31 / 100
Gozzano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asti Calcio's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gozzano let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Asti Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS Gozzano
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Gozzano

(Away)
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
GSD Lascaris
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fezzanese 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Saluzzo 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 AS Biellese 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Derthona FbC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
5 GSD Lascaris 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
6 Millesimo 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Asti Calcio 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Chisola 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Sestri Levante 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Gozzano 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
14 Bra 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 Borgosesia Calcio 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Ligorna 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
17 Valenzana 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
18 Celle Varazze 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)