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Asti Calcio vs NovaRomentin Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Mazzucco L.
85' Event
Mazzucco L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Asti Calcio and NovaRomentin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Asti Calcio
15%
Draws
0%
NovaRomentin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • NovaRomentin haven't matched Asti Calcio's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Asti Calcio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio NovaRomentin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.98 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs NovaRomentin
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
0:2
May 3, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
5:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs NovaRomentin
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzucco L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.29
Avg xA / game 1.49

NovaRomentin Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 95 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio NovaRomentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NovaRomentin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: NovaRomentin has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Asti Calcio scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS NovaRomentin
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 7

NovaRomentin

(Away)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)