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Asti Calcio vs NovaRomentin

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Mazzucco L.
85' Event
Mazzucco L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Asti Calcio and NovaRomentin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Asti Calcio
6%
Draws
4%
NovaRomentin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • NovaRomentin haven't matched Asti Calcio's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Asti Calcio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio NovaRomentin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs NovaRomentin
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
0:2
May 3, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Asti Calcio
5:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs NovaRomentin
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzucco L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

NovaRomentin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 95 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio NovaRomentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NovaRomentin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: NovaRomentin has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Asti Calcio scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS NovaRomentin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
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NovaRomentin

(Away)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)