Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A

Asti Calcio

0 - 1

Varese FC

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Sovogui A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varese FC in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varese FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Asti Calcio

20%

Draws

38%

Varese FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Varese FC have won more games recently than Asti Calcio.
42% — that's where the model lands on Asti Calcio taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 20%

Varese FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Asti Calcio	Varese FC
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	13
Draws	8	7
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	1	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Asti Calcio vs Varese FC

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A

Varese FC vs Asti Calcio

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A

Varese FC vs Asti Calcio

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group A

Asti Calcio vs Varese FC

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A

Varese FC vs Asti Calcio

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Varese FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sovogui A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 42 / 100

Varese FC 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Asti Calcio Varese FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asti Calcio's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Varese FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Asti Calcio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS Varese FC

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	34	24	6	4	69:24	78
2	Ligorna	34	21	9	4	64:26	72
3	AS Biellese	34	16	9	9	48:29	57
4	Varese FC	34	16	8	10	43:43	56
5	Chisola	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
6	Sestri Levante	34	15	9	10	54:34	54
7	Sanremese	34	13	10	11	37:30	49
8	Valenzana	34	12	9	13	33:48	45
9	Celle Varazze	34	12	8	14	41:47	44
10	Saluzzo	34	11	10	13	48:44	43
11	Club Milano	34	12	6	16	43:49	42
12	Imperia Calcio	34	10	11	13	36:44	41
13	Cairese	34	9	13	12	29:34	40
14	Derthona FbC	34	11	7	16	36:46	40
15	Gozzano	34	9	12	13	37:42	39
16	Asti Calcio	34	8	11	15	32:42	35
17	Lavagnese	34	5	12	17	32:52	27
18	NovaRomentin	34	6	3	25	26:82	16