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Aston Villa U18 vs Arsenal U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa U18 host Arsenal U18 in the Premier League U18. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Aston Villa U18 have averaged 2.91 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Arsenal U18's 1.5 scored and 2.04 conceded. Past meetings favor Arsenal U18 slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.69) point toward Aston Villa U18. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aston Villa U18
15%
Draws
48%
Arsenal U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aston Villa U18 lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal U18.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aston Villa U18 Clean Sheet 13%
Arsenal U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U18 Arsenal U18
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.91 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premier League U18
Aston Villa U18 vs Arsenal U18
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League U18
Arsenal U18 vs Aston Villa U18
2:6
May 11, 2025 Premier League U18
Aston Villa U18 vs Arsenal U18
0:3
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League U18
Arsenal U18 vs Aston Villa U18
2:4
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League U18
Arsenal U18 vs Aston Villa U18
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U18 31 / 100
Arsenal U18 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U18 Arsenal U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa U18 scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Arsenal U18 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Aston Villa U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U18 VS Arsenal U18
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4
Brighton U18
12 Sept
West Brom U18
2 : 0
Aston Villa U18
05 Sept
Brentford U18
0 : 5
Aston Villa U18
29 Aug
Aston Villa U18
1 : 0
Crystal Palace U18
22 Aug
Fulham U18
5 : 5
Aston Villa U18
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Arsenal U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Norwich U18
1 : 5
Arsenal U18
12 Sept
Arsenal U18
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0
Southampton U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1
Arsenal U18
22 Aug
Arsenal U18
1 : 3
Ipswich U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 Middlesbrough U18 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
8 Derby U18 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
10 Leeds U18 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
11 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
12 Stoke City U18 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 6 5 1 0 33:9 16
2 Chelsea U18 7 5 0 2 28:10 15
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 21:12 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
6 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 15:17 10
8 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
12 Norwich U18 6 2 0 4 13:22 6
13 Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 14:22 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 7 1 1 5 9:25 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)