Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aston Villa U18 vs Wrexham U18

England England

FA Youth Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Burrowes B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aston Villa U18
25%
Draws
35%
Wrexham U18
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aston Villa U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aston Villa U18 come out ahead of Wrexham U18 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Aston Villa U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aston Villa U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Aston Villa U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Wrexham U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U18 Wrexham U18
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 17 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 2.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 FA Youth Cup
Aston Villa U18 vs Wrexham U18
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burrowes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Wrexham U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U18 31 / 100
Wrexham U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U18 Wrexham U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U18 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Wrexham U18 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Solid form: Aston Villa U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U18 VS Wrexham U18
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4
Brighton U18
12 Sept
West Brom U18
2 : 0
Aston Villa U18
05 Sept
Brentford U18
0 : 5
Aston Villa U18
29 Aug
Aston Villa U18
1 : 0
Crystal Palace U18
22 Aug
Fulham U18
5 : 5
Aston Villa U18
Page 1 of 6

Wrexham U18

(Away)
24 Feb
Aston Villa U18
1 : 0
Wrexham U18
22 Jan
Southend U18
1 : 3
Wrexham U18

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Reading U18 2
Chelsea U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Arsenal U18 2
Everton U18 3
West Ham U18 2
Bromley U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
Leeds U18 1
Swansea U18 2
Coventry U18 1
Blackburn U18 8
Norwich U18 1
Burnley U18 5
Watford U18 1
Charlton U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 2
Colchester U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Derby U18 1
Sunderland U18 4
West Brom U18 3
QPR U18 0
Brighton U18 2
Fleetwood Town U18 2
Aston Villa U18 3
Southend U18 1
Wrexham U18 3
Bolton U18 1
Stevenage U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 4
1/8-finals
Chelsea U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
Everton U18 4
Ipswich U18 2
Swansea U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 2
Charlton U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 1
Manchester United U18 4
Sunderland U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Aston Villa U18 1
Wrexham U18 0
Stevenage U18 1
Crystal Palace U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 3
Everton U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 1
Manchester United U18 3
Sunderland U18 2
Aston Villa U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 3
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
Blackburn U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Manchester United U18 1