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Aston Villa U21 vs Crystal Palace U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Birmingham
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Somade S. In: Danaher E.
Out: Somade S.
56'
Sub
Bernard-Ferguson M. In: Casey B.
Out: Bernard-Ferguson M.
59'
Sub
Brannigan C. In: Lynskey A.
Out: Brannigan C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 game between Aston Villa U21 and Crystal Palace U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crystal Palace U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aston Villa U21
15%
Draws
39%
Crystal Palace U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Crystal Palace U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Aston Villa U21 taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Crystal Palace U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Crystal Palace U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U21 Crystal Palace U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Crystal Palace U21
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Crystal Palace U21
0:2
Feb 17, 2025 Premier League 2
Crystal Palace U21 vs Aston Villa U21
3:0
Mar 11, 2024 Premier League 2
Crystal Palace U21 vs Aston Villa U21
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Crystal Palace U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Casey B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nascimento A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U21 83 / 100
Crystal Palace U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U21 Crystal Palace U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Aston Villa U21's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Aston Villa U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U21 VS Crystal Palace U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U21

(Home)
27 Oct
Blackpool
3 : 2
Aston Villa U21
17 Oct
Burnley U21
0 : 1
Aston Villa U21
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1
Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
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Crystal Palace U21

(Away)
03 Nov
Newport
1 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
26 Oct
Crystal Palace U21
2 : 5
Southampton U21
18 Oct
Leeds U21
1 : 4
Crystal Palace U21
14 Oct
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 4
Anderlecht 2
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1
Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 6 5 1 0 17:8 16
2 Southampton U21 5 4 1 0 12:4 13
3 Chelsea U21 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
4 Norwich U21 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
5 Nottingham U21 6 4 0 2 11:11 12
6 Liverpool U21 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
7 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
8 Fulham U21 6 3 1 2 16:14 10
9 Bournemouth U21 6 3 1 2 14:13 10
10 Reading U21 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
11 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
12 Brentford U21 6 3 0 3 15:13 9
13 Everton U21 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
14 Brighton U21 6 2 2 2 14:14 8
15 West Ham U21 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
16 Aston Villa U21 5 2 2 1 8:8 8
17 Crystal Palace U21 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
18 Derby U21 6 2 1 3 16:16 7
19 Leeds U21 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
20 Manchester City U21 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
21 Ipswich U21 4 2 0 2 11:10 6
22 Blackburn U21 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
23 Stoke City U21 6 1 1 4 11:11 4
24 Leicester U21 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
25 Arsenal U21 6 0 4 2 7:13 4
26 Burnley U21 6 1 0 5 9:13 3
27 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
28 Wolves U21 4 1 0 3 2:11 3
29 Middlesbrough U21 6 0 2 4 9:14 2
30 Birmingham U21 5 0 2 3 5:16 2
31 West Brom U21 5 0 1 4 11:17 1
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