Sport Picks
Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Birmingham 
Match Events
7'
7'
Johnson O.
Assist: Meade M.
13'
13'
Greenup I.
17'
17'
Campbell L.
Assist: Listowell H. L.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 game between Aston Villa U21 and Middlesbrough U21 finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aston Villa U21 have managed 1.62 goals a game lately — Middlesbrough U21 are scoring more at 2.17.
- Model gives Aston Villa U21 a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Middlesbrough U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
2:2
Apr 10, 2026 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
0:2
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21
4:2
Feb 16, 2024 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
4:0
Mar 6, 2023 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aston Villa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Johnson O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Middlesbrough U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aston Villa U21 83 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aston Villa U21 Middlesbrough U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aston Villa U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Middlesbrough U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Aston Villa U21's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Aston Villa U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aston Villa U21 VS Middlesbrough U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aston Villa U21
(Home) 27 Oct
Blackpool
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
17 Oct
Burnley U21
0 : 1 Aston Villa U21
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1 Real Sociedad B
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1 Real Sociedad B
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4 Brondby U21
28 Aug
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough U21
(Away) 03 Nov
Middlesbrough U21
3 : 2 Valencia B
25 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 2 Tottenham U21
20 Oct
Boreham Wood
7 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
16 Oct
Everton U21
2 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
30 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0 Juventus U21
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Boreham Wood
7 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
16 Oct
Everton U21
2 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 14 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 8 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 20 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 21 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 23 | Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 4 |
| 24 | Leicester U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 25 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 28 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 2 |
| 30 | Birmingham U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:16 | 2 |
| 31 | West Brom U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11:17 | 1 |
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