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Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21

England England

Premier League 2 Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Birmingham
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa U21 host Middlesbrough U21 in the Premier League 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aston Villa U21 have averaged 1.75 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Middlesbrough U21's 2.07 scored and 1.46 conceded. Head-to-head, Aston Villa U21 have won 2 to Middlesbrough U21's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.56, favoring Aston Villa U21. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aston Villa U21
20%
Draws
40%
Middlesbrough U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U21 haven't matched Aston Villa U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aston Villa U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U21 Middlesbrough U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.75 2.07
Goals Conceded 2 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
0:2
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21
4:2
Feb 16, 2024 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
4:0
Mar 6, 2023 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21
2:3
Aug 5, 2022 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U21 34 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U21 Middlesbrough U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough U21 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Aston Villa U21's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aston Villa U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U21 VS Middlesbrough U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U21

(Home)
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4
Brondby U21
28 Aug
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U21 3 2 1 0 11:6 7
2 Tottenham U21 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
3 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Southampton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
5 Manchester United U21 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
6 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 10:7 6
7 Brentford U21 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
8 Sunderland U21 3 2 0 1 10:8 6
9 Reading U21 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
10 Bournemouth U21 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
11 Nottingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 6
12 Stoke City U21 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
13 Brighton U21 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
14 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
15 Everton U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
16 Leeds U21 3 1 1 1 9:9 4
17 Derby U21 3 1 1 1 8:8 4
18 West Ham U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
19 Liverpool U21 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
20 Aston Villa U21 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
21 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
22 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
23 Arsenal U21 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
24 West Brom U21 2 0 1 1 7:8 1
25 Birmingham U21 2 0 1 1 5:7 1
26 Middlesbrough U21 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
27 Burnley U21 3 0 0 3 4:8 0
28 Blackburn U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
29 Leicester U21 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
30 Newcastle Utd U21 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
31 Wolves U21 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
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