Sport Picks
Aston Villa U21 vs Sunderland U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Birmingham 
Match Events
10'
10'
Wilson R.
Assist: Burrowes B.
34'
34'
Kone M.
38'
38'
Broggio B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sunderland U21 lately — more wins on the board than Aston Villa U21.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Sunderland U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 2.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Sunderland U21
3:3
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Sunderland U21
2:2
Sep 29, 2023 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Sunderland U21
2:3
Feb 24, 2023 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Sunderland U21
6:4
Aug 15, 2022 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Aston Villa U21
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aston Villa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kone M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Sunderland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Tuterov T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Geragusian F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aston Villa U21 30 / 100
Sunderland U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aston Villa U21 Sunderland U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunderland U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.
Aston Villa U21 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Aston Villa U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aston Villa U21 VS Sunderland U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aston Villa U21
(Home) 01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3 Manchester City U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3 Manchester City U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
13 Mar
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Norwich U21
06 Mar
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4 Manchester City U21
06 Feb
Aston Villa U21
3 : 4 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 3
Sunderland U21
(Away) 18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1 Sunderland U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Blackburn U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1 Sunderland U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1 Sunderland U21
14 Mar
Chelsea U21
4 : 0 Sunderland U21
02 Mar
Crystal Palace U21
0 : 1 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
