Sport Picks
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Champions League Villa Park, Birmingham 
AI Match Summary
Aston Villa host Fenerbahce in the Champions League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Aston Villa at 1.97 goals for, 1.5 against; Fenerbahce at 2.24 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Aston Villa have won 3 to Fenerbahce's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 22, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.63) back Fenerbahce to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aston Villa haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
- Fenerbahce are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Aston Villa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aston Villa | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aston Villa scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.
Aston Villa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fenerbahce let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aston Villa
(Home)Fenerbahce
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Atl. Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | LASK Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah Baku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
