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Aston Villa vs Viking - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Villa Park, Birmingham
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Barkley R.
Assist: Mbaye I.
37' Event
Buendia E.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Heggheim H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aston Villa
20%
Draws
40%
Viking
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aston Villa haven't matched Viking's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 10%
Viking Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa Viking
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 2.03 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Champions League
Aston Villa vs Viking
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Barkley R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Viking Compare

Top Goalscorer Christiansen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa 29 / 100
Viking 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa Viking

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Aston Villa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Viking's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa VS Viking
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa

(Home)
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Aston Villa
14 Oct
Aston Villa
6 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Oct
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Brentford
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

Viking

(Away)
17 Oct
Viking
3 : 2
Fredrikstad
13 Oct
Viking
3 : 3
Bayern Munich
09 Oct
Brann
0 : 2
Viking
01 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 3
Viking
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0
Lillestrom
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 3 3 0 0 14:5 9
2 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 12:7 9
3 VfB Stuttgart 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
4 Aston Villa 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
5 Barcelona 3 2 0 1 11:6 6
6 Manchester City 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
7 Sporting CP 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
8 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
9 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
10 Betis 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
11 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
12 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 8:3 4
13 AS Roma 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
14 Shakhtar 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
15 Atl. Madrid 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
16 PSV 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
17 Como 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
18 Manchester United 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
19 Villarreal 3 1 0 2 8:8 3
20 Club Brugge 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
21 Lens 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
22 Napoli 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
23 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
24 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:7 3
25 Sabah FC 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
26 Bodo/Glimt 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
27 AEK 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
28 Fenerbahce 3 0 2 1 3:9 2
29 Viking 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
30 Slavia Prague 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
31 Inter 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
32 LASK Linz 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
33 FC Porto 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
34 Lille 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
35 Galatasaray 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
36 Slovan Bratislava 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)