Sport Picks
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
WSL Villa Park, Birmingham 
Match Events
35'
35'
Lloyd-Smith L.
55'
55'
Maritz N.
Assist: Grant C.
63'
63'
Sub
Kielland J. In: Hijikata M.
Out: Kielland J.
AI Match Summary
The WSL game between Aston Villa W and Crystal Palace W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Crystal Palace W come out ahead of Aston Villa W on wins alone.
- Aston Villa W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 15%
Crystal Palace W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aston Villa W | Crystal Palace W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 WSL
Crystal Palace W vs Aston Villa W
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W
3:2
Oct 2, 2024 Women's League Cup
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W
2:0
Apr 26, 2020 WSL 2
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aston Villa W Compare
Top Goalscorer Maritz N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Crystal Palace W Compare
Top Goalscorer Larkin A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aston Villa W 41 / 100
Crystal Palace W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aston Villa W Crystal Palace W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aston Villa W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Crystal Palace W let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Aston Villa W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aston Villa W VS Crystal Palace W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aston Villa W
(Home) 04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1 Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0 Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1 Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1 Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4 Manchester City W
30 Aug
Aston Villa W
0 : 0 West Ham W
09 May
Aston Villa W
0 : 3 Arsenal W
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Crystal Palace W
(Away) 04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1 Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Crystal Palace W
3 : 0 Charlton W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3 Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0 Watford W
20 Sept
Crystal Palace W
0 : 7 Tottenham W
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1 Crystal Palace W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3 Crystal Palace W
13 Sept
Arsenal W
0 : 0 Crystal Palace W
05 Aug
Real Madrid W
2 : 0 Crystal Palace W
26 Apr
Sunderland W
1 : 2 Crystal Palace W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 13 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester United W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 10 | Arsenal W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 11 | West Ham W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 12 | Aston Villa W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 13 | Birmingham W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:15 | 0 |
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)
