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Aston Villa W vs Manchester United W

England England

WSL Bescot Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Taylor M.
35' Event
Zigiotti Olme J.
37' Event
Hanson K.
Assist: Maritz N.

AI Match Summary

Manchester United W in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manchester United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aston Villa W
20%
Draws
38%
Manchester United W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aston Villa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Manchester United W have won more games recently than Aston Villa W.
  • Model gives Aston Villa W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa W Manchester United W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.71 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Manchester United W
1:4
Nov 8, 2025 WSL
Manchester United W vs Aston Villa W
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Manchester United W vs Aston Villa W
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Manchester United W
0:4
Nov 10, 2024 WSL
Manchester United W vs Aston Villa W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Manchester United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zigiotti Olme J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Terland E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa W 40 / 100
Manchester United W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa W Manchester United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Manchester United W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Manchester United W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa W VS Manchester United W
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
2.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W22181362:1955
2Arsenal W22156153:1451
3Chelsea W22154344:2049
4Manchester United W22117438:2240
5Tottenham W22113835:3836
6London City Lionesses W22831128:3527
7Brighton W22751027:2826
8Everton W22721325:3723
9Aston Villa W22551228:4820
10West Ham W22541320:4519
11Liverpool W22451321:3417
12Leicester W22231711:529