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Astorps vs Jonsereds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
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Match Events

45' Event
Branting A.
66'
Javette C.
66'
Javette C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Astorps and Jonsereds finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Astorps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Astorps
15%
Draws
46%
Jonsereds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonsereds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jonsereds come out ahead of Astorps on wins alone.
  • Model gives Astorps a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Astorps Clean Sheet 17%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astorps Jonsereds
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Jonsereds
2:0
Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Astorps
1:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Jonsereds
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astorps Compare

Top Goalscorer Branting A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akpoveta O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jonsereds Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astorps 48 / 100
Jonsereds 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astorps Jonsereds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astorps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astorps found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Jonsereds conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Astorps has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Astorps VS Jonsereds
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Astorps

(Home)
03 Oct
Astorps
1 : 3
Dalstorps
27 Sept
Frolunda
2 : 0
Astorps
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
13 Sept
Astorps
1 : 2
Qviding
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
Page 1 of 6

Jonsereds

(Away)
03 Oct
Boljan
0 : 1
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 24 17 3 4 42:19 54
2 Dalstorps 24 13 7 4 47:26 46
3 Jonsereds 24 12 6 6 40:37 42
4 Hestrafors 24 12 5 7 48:39 41
5 Lindome 24 11 4 9 46:40 37
6 Frolunda 24 10 7 7 45:39 37
7 Boljan 24 9 7 8 36:32 34
8 Qviding 24 10 4 10 44:44 34
9 Onsala 24 8 6 10 33:37 30
10 Torslanda 24 7 7 10 39:42 28
11 Kongahalla 24 7 6 11 35:45 27
12 Astorps 24 7 5 12 29:41 26
13 Galtabacks 24 5 5 14 38:46 20
14 BK Astrio 24 2 4 18 22:57 10
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)