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Astorps vs Savedalen

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Musleh A.
58' Event
Westerblad B.
67' Event
Teklemariam Haile N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Astorps advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Astorps
15%
Draws
21%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Astorps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Astorps carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Astorps taking it.
  • Astorps have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Astorps, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Astorps Clean Sheet 10%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astorps Savedalen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.35 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Astorps
1:4
Oct 26, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Savedalen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astorps Compare

Top Goalscorer Musleh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Westerblad B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Savedalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Teklemariam Haile N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astorps 83 / 100
Savedalen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astorps Savedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astorps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Savedalen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Astorps's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Astorps stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astorps VS Savedalen
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Astorps

(Home)
13 Sept
Astorps
1 : 2
Qviding
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
30 Aug
Landvetter
2 : 1
Astorps
22 Aug
Astorps
2 : 0
Kongahalla
14 Aug
Boljan
0 : 1
Astorps
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Savedalen

(Away)
02 Jun
Savedalen
2 : 3
Boljan
01 Nov
Kumla
2 : 0
Savedalen
25 Oct
Savedalen
1 : 0
Kumla
02 Nov
Savedalen
1 : 4
Astorps
26 Oct
Astorps
3 : 1
Savedalen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Savedalen 2
Astorps 7