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Astorps vs Savedalen

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astorps play Savedalen in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Astorps averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Savedalen averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Astorps won 2, Savedalen won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Astorps and 1.69 for Savedalen. This points to a Astorps double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Astorps
28%
Draws
22%
Savedalen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Astorps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Astorps picked up more points recently compared to Savedalen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Astorps Clean Sheet 13%
Savedalen Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astorps Savedalen
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.69 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Savedalen vs Astorps
1:4
Oct 26, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astorps vs Savedalen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astorps Compare

Top Goalscorer Musleh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Westerblad B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Savedalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Teklemariam Haile N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astorps 48 / 100
Savedalen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astorps Savedalen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Astorps or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Astorps attacking → ← attacking Savedalen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astorps scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Savedalen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Astorps went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Savedalen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 27
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25