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Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bitarov T.
43' Event
Avagumyan A.
74' Event
Goryaev D.

AI Match Summary

FK Pobeda in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Pobeda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Astrakhan
28%
Draws
50%
FK Pobeda
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Astrakhan lately — more wins on the board than FK Pobeda.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on FK Pobeda taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Pobeda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 10%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astrakhan FK Pobeda
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:3
Aug 20, 2025 Russian Cup
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Astrakhan
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Astrakhan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Goryaev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Bitarov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avagumyan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astrakhan 22 / 100
FK Pobeda 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astrakhan FK Pobeda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astrakhan's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Pobeda conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Astrakhan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Astrakhan VS FK Pobeda
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%