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Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bitarov T.
43' Event
Avagumyan A.
74' Event
Goryaev D.

AI Match Summary

FK Pobeda in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Pobeda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Astrakhan
20%
Draws
69%
FK Pobeda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Pobeda lately — more wins on the board than Astrakhan.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on FK Pobeda taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Pobeda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 12%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astrakhan FK Pobeda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Astrakhan
2:1
May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:3
Aug 20, 2025 Russian Cup
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Astrakhan
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Goryaev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Bitarov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avagumyan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astrakhan 11 / 100
FK Pobeda 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astrakhan FK Pobeda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pobeda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astrakhan's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Pobeda conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Astrakhan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Astrakhan VS FK Pobeda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Astrakhan

(Home)
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
26 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 0
Astrakhan
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FK Pobeda

(Away)
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
29 Aug
Rostov 2
4 : 0
FK Pobeda
22 Aug
FK Pobeda
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
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