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Astrakhan vs Zarya Lugansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astrakhan play Zarya Lugansk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Astrakhan averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Zarya Lugansk averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Astrakhan won 0, Zarya Lugansk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Astrakhan and 1.25 for Zarya Lugansk. This points to a Astrakhan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Astrakhan
30%
Draws
34%
Zarya Lugansk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Astrakhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Astrakhan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Zarya Lugansk.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Astrakhan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 19%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astrakhan Zarya Lugansk
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 13 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs Zarya Lugansk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Malysh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsindrik S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romanov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astrakhan 36 / 100
Zarya Lugansk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astrakhan Zarya Lugansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astrakhan scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Zarya Lugansk let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Astrakhan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Zarya Lugansk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astrakhan VS Zarya Lugansk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%