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Astur vs Condal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astur host Condal in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Astur at 0.79 goals for, 2.48 against; Condal at 0.83 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Astur have won 0 to Condal's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2016, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.03 vs 0.76, favoring Condal. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Astur
35%
Draws
55%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Condal lately — more wins on the board than Astur.
  • Condal are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Condal have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Astur Clean Sheet 20%
Condal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Condal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.79 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Condal
1:2
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Astur
2:0
Apr 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Condal
0:2
Nov 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Astur
2:0
Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Astur
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 20 / 100
Condal 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Condal has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Astur scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Astur remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS Condal
0.43 Goals Scored 0.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Condal

(Away)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Condal
1 : 0
Club Siero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)