Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Astur vs Cudillero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astur in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Astur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Astur
15%
Draws
0%
Cudillero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Astur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Astur have won more games recently than Cudillero.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Astur taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Astur Clean Sheet 16%
Cudillero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Cudillero
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 23 30
Goals Scored 0.87 0
Goals Conceded 2.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Cudillero
2:0
Dec 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Astur
0:2
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Astur
2:1
Dec 16, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Cudillero
2:0
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Astur
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 57 / 100
Cudillero 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Cudillero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cudillero let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Cudillero lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Astur found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Astur VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
Page 1 of 7

Cudillero

(Away)
17 May
Cudillero
0 : 2
Universidad Oviedo
10 May
Astur
2 : 0
Cudillero
03 May
Praviano
2 : 0
Cudillero
26 Apr
Cudillero
0 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Apr
Llanes
2 : 0
Cudillero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)