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Astur vs Tuilla

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 game between Astur and Tuilla finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Astur
15%
Draws
49%
Tuilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Astur haven't matched Tuilla's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tuilla have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Astur Clean Sheet 20%
Tuilla Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Tuilla
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0.79 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Astur
3:2
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Tuilla
0:3
Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Tuilla
0:0
Nov 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Tuilla vs Astur
1:0
May 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Tuilla
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 32 / 100
Tuilla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Tuilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Tuilla registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Astur scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS Tuilla
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
Page 1 of 6

Tuilla

(Away)
10 May
Tuilla
1 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Tuilla
4 : 0
Real Titanico
12 Apr
Navarro
1 : 1
Tuilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)