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ASV Geel vs Chatelet Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

First Amateur Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First Amateur Division 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
ASV Geel
20%
Draws
23%
Chatelet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASV Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chatelet lately — more wins on the board than ASV Geel.
  • Model gives ASV Geel a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
ASV Geel Clean Sheet 20%
Chatelet Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASV Geel Chatelet
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.58 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2019 National Division 1
ASV Geel vs Chatelet
1:1
Oct 20, 2018 National Division 1
Chatelet vs ASV Geel
2:0
Feb 18, 2018 National Division 1
Chatelet vs ASV Geel
2:2
Nov 18, 2017 National Division 1
ASV Geel vs Chatelet
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASV Geel 85 / 100
Chatelet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASV Geel Chatelet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASV Geel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASV Geel scored in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Chatelet conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: ASV Geel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASV Geel VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASV Geel

(Home)
04 Aug
ASV Geel
1 : 1
Hasselt
13 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 4
ASV Geel
23 Aug
Meux
2 : 1
ASV Geel
17 Aug
ASV Geel
2 : 1
Wezel Sport
10 Aug
ASV Geel
2 : 0
Crossing Schaerbeek
Page 1 of 6

Chatelet

(Away)
27 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 0
Knokke
13 Apr
Virton
1 : 0
Chatelet
06 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 3
RFC Seraing
30 Mar
Dessel
1 : 0
Chatelet
23 Mar
Chatelet
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thes Sport 30 19 5 6 62:28 62
2 Deinze 30 17 8 5 53:30 59
3 Virton 30 15 9 6 42:20 54
4 Lierse SK 30 13 9 8 42:36 48
5 Boom 30 13 6 11 44:40 45
6 RFC Liege 30 11 8 11 41:35 41
7 RFC Seraing 30 10 11 9 46:40 41
8 RWDM Brussels 30 11 7 12 39:45 40
9 Dender 30 10 10 10 42:40 40
10 Heist 30 10 8 12 29:44 38
11 Chatelet 30 9 9 12 30:37 36
12 Dessel 30 9 8 13 30:39 35
13 Oudenaarde 30 10 4 16 37:59 34
14 ASV Geel 30 9 4 17 42:62 31
15 Aalst 30 7 10 13 35:49 31
16 Knokke 30 6 6 18 35:45 24
Relegation - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)