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ASV Neumarkt vs Bamberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASV Neumarkt host Bamberg in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. This one's hard to separate. ASV Neumarkt have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.77 conceded recently, against Bamberg's 1.65 scored and 1.16 conceded. Past meetings favor ASV Neumarkt slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.69) back Bamberg to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
ASV Neumarkt
20%
Draws
51%
Bamberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bamberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bamberg lately — more wins on the board than ASV Neumarkt.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 13%
Bamberg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASV Neumarkt Bamberg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bamberg vs ASV Neumarkt
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Bamberg
3:2
May 27, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Bamberg
5:5
Oct 29, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bamberg vs ASV Neumarkt
4:0
May 7, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bamberg vs ASV Neumarkt
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASV Neumarkt 31 / 100
Bamberg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASV Neumarkt Bamberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bamberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Bamberg let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: ASV Neumarkt scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: ASV Neumarkt stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASV Neumarkt VS Bamberg
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASV Neumarkt

(Home)
09 Oct
Neudrossenfeld
4 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
03 Oct
ASV Neumarkt
1 : 2
Ingolstadt II
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
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Bamberg

(Away)
02 Oct
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
1 : 1
Bamberg
26 Sept
Bamberg
0 : 2
Cham
18 Sept
Grossbardorf
0 : 3
Bamberg
11 Sept
Neudrossenfeld
1 : 0
Bamberg
05 Sept
Bamberg
4 : 1
Ingolstadt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 14 12 1 1 32:9 37
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 TSV Kornburg 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
5 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
6 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Neudrossenfeld 14 6 1 7 20:22 19
11 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 14 3 4 7 20:28 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 14 2 5 7 14:29 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 14 1 3 10 10:27 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)