Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASV Neumarkt vs Gebenbach Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between ASV Neumarkt and Gebenbach finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASV Neumarkt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
ASV Neumarkt
30%
Draws
47%
Gebenbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gebenbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gebenbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gebenbach a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gebenbach have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
ASV Neumarkt Clean Sheet 10%
Gebenbach Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASV Neumarkt Gebenbach
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt
3:0
Apr 24, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Gebenbach
5:2
Oct 10, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt
2:0
May 10, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Gebenbach
0:3
Oct 11, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs ASV Neumarkt
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASV Neumarkt 26 / 100
Gebenbach 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASV Neumarkt Gebenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gebenbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Gebenbach let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

ASV Neumarkt found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

ASV Neumarkt went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASV Neumarkt VS Gebenbach
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASV Neumarkt

(Home)
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 1
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
06 Sept
ASV Neumarkt
0 : 2
Regensburg II
28 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
Page 1 of 6

Gebenbach

(Away)
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
11 Sept
Gebenbach
0 : 4
Bayern Hof
04 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1
Gebenbach
28 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)