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ASV St.Marienkirchen vs Gmunden

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASV St.Marienkirchen play Gmunden in the Oberosterreich 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, ASV St.Marienkirchen averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Gmunden averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, ASV St.Marienkirchen won 0, Gmunden won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 18, 2018 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for ASV St.Marienkirchen and 0.86 for Gmunden. This points to a Gmunden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
ASV St.Marienkirchen
31%
Draws
37%
Gmunden
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Gmunden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • ASV St.Marienkirchen picked up more points recently compared to Gmunden.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
ASV St.Marienkirchen Clean Sheet 25%
Gmunden Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASV St.Marienkirchen Gmunden
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2018 Oberosterreich
ASV St.Marienkirchen vs Gmunden
1:1
Oct 25, 2017 Oberosterreich
Gmunden vs ASV St.Marienkirchen
2:0
Jun 9, 2017 Oberosterreich
ASV St.Marienkirchen vs Gmunden
0:0
Nov 16, 2016 Oberosterreich
Gmunden vs ASV St.Marienkirchen
1:0
Jun 10, 2016 Oberosterreich
ASV St.Marienkirchen vs Gmunden
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASV St.Marienkirchen 34 / 100
Gmunden 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASV St.Marienkirchen Gmunden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gmunden or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASV St.Marienkirchen attacking → ← attacking Gmunden

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASV St.Marienkirchen scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Gmunden let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

ASV St.Marienkirchen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gmunden lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13