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ASV St.Marienkirchen vs Micheldorf

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASV St.Marienkirchen play Micheldorf in the Oberosterreich 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, ASV St.Marienkirchen averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Micheldorf averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, ASV St.Marienkirchen won 1, Micheldorf won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 9, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for ASV St.Marienkirchen and 0.93 for Micheldorf. This points to a ASV St.Marienkirchen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
ASV St.Marienkirchen
35%
Draws
28%
Micheldorf
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASV St.Marienkirchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • ASV St.Marienkirchen picked up more points recently compared to Micheldorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
ASV St.Marienkirchen Clean Sheet 24%
Micheldorf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASV St.Marienkirchen Micheldorf
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.38 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2018 Oberosterreich
ASV St.Marienkirchen vs Micheldorf
0:0
Aug 11, 2017 Oberosterreich
Micheldorf vs ASV St.Marienkirchen
2:2
May 20, 2017 Oberosterreich
ASV St.Marienkirchen vs Micheldorf
2:2
Oct 26, 2016 Oberosterreich
Micheldorf vs ASV St.Marienkirchen
3:1
May 28, 2016 Oberosterreich
ASV St.Marienkirchen vs Micheldorf
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASV St.Marienkirchen 38 / 100
Micheldorf 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASV St.Marienkirchen Micheldorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ASV St.Marienkirchen or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASV St.Marienkirchen attacking → ← attacking Micheldorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASV St.Marienkirchen scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Micheldorf let in goals in 80% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

ASV St.Marienkirchen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Micheldorf lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 36
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88