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Asyut Petroleum vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
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AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Asyut Petroleum have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s 1.13 scored and 0.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.25) back Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Asyut Petroleum
20%
Draws
73%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Asyut Petroleum average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s 1.13.
  • Model gives Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon), who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 19%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asyut Petroleum Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 14
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Division 2 A
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0
Nov 4, 2024 Division 2 A
Asyut Petroleum vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2:0
Apr 16, 2010 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Asyut Petroleum
4:2
Dec 7, 2009 Premier League
Asyut Petroleum vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0:1
Mar 6, 2009 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asyut Petroleum 10 / 100
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asyut Petroleum Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asyut Petroleum scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Asyut Petroleum remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Asyut Petroleum VS Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asyut Petroleum

(Home)
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5
Al Ahly
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
National Bank Egypt
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
Page 1 of 6

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

(Away)
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
15 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 2
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)