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Asyut Petroleum vs El Gouna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Asyut University Stadium, Asyut
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asyut Petroleum host El Gouna in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Asyut Petroleum have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against El Gouna's 0.8 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Asyut Petroleum have won 2 to El Gouna's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 4, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.19) back Asyut Petroleum to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Asyut Petroleum
15%
Draws
0%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asyut Petroleum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asyut Petroleum come out ahead of El Gouna on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 20%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asyut Petroleum El Gouna
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.14 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Egypt Cup
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
2:1
May 4, 2023 Division 2 - Group A
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0
Dec 8, 2022 Division 2 - Group A
Asyut Petroleum vs El Gouna
1:0
Sep 21, 2011 Egypt Cup
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
4:3
Feb 8, 2010 Premier League
El Gouna vs Asyut Petroleum
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asyut Petroleum 32 / 100
El Gouna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asyut Petroleum El Gouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: El Gouna registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Asyut Petroleum scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: El Gouna conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Asyut Petroleum VS El Gouna
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asyut Petroleum

(Home)
13 Oct
Abu Qir Semad
1 : 2
Asyut Petroleum
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5
Al Ahly
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2
Modern Sport
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1
National Bank Egypt
Page 1 of 6

El Gouna

(Away)
13 Oct
Al Ittihad Alexandria
2 : 1
El Gouna
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 6 0 0 13:2 18
2 Al Ahly 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Zamalek 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
4 Modern Sport 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
5 Al Ittihad Alexandria 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
6 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
7 National Bank Egypt 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
8 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
9 Petrojet 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
10 ZED FC 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
11 Al Qanah 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
12 Al Masry 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Smouha 6 2 1 3 2:4 7
14 El Gaish 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
15 Wadi Degla 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
16 Asyut Petroleum 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
17 Enppi 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
18 Abu Qir Semad 6 1 0 5 2:10 3
19 El Gouna 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 6 0 1 5 1:10 1
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