Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Italy Italy

Serie A New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atalanta host Sassuolo in the Serie A. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Atalanta have averaged 1 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Sassuolo's 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Atalanta have won 3 to Sassuolo's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.44, favoring Atalanta. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atalanta
33%
Draws
27%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atalanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Atalanta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atalanta a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 16%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Sassuolo
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Atalanta
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
3:0
Jan 3, 2024 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Atalanta
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 39 / 100
Sassuolo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Sassuolo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atalanta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Sassuolo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Atalanta
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0
Genoa
27 Apr
Cagliari
3 : 2
Atalanta
Page 1 of 7

Sassuolo

(Away)
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
08 May
Torino
2 : 1
Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)