Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atalanta U20 vs Monza U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Leandri M.
35'
Villa M.
46'
Sub
Camara H. In: Cakolli D.
Out: Camara H.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between Atalanta U20 and Monza U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atalanta U20
15%
Draws
34%
Monza U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Atalanta U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atalanta U20 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atalanta U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Monza U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U20 Monza U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primavera 1
Atalanta U20 vs Monza U20
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Atalanta U20
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 Primavera 1
Atalanta U20 vs Monza U20
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Atalanta U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cakolli D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Monza U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U20 36 / 100
Monza U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U20 Monza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monza U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta U20 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Monza U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Monza U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U20 VS Monza U20
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U20

(Home)
20 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 1
Atalanta U20
13 Sept
Atalanta U20
1 : 3
Torino U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Atalanta U20
30 Aug
Atalanta U20
1 : 3
AS Roma U20
Page 1 of 7

Monza U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 3
Inter U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
06 Sept
Verona U20
1 : 2
Monza U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)