Sport Picks
Atalanta U23 vs Alcione Milano Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio 
Match Events
36'
36'
Lopes E.
69'
69'
Lonardo E.
75'
75'
Sassi J.
AI Match Summary
Atalanta U23 in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atalanta U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Atalanta U23 have won more games recently than Alcione Milano.
- Win probability leans Atalanta U23's way, sitting at 50%.
- Atalanta U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alcione Milano, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Atalanta U23 have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta U23 | Alcione Milano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Atalanta U23 vs Alcione Milano
2:1
Dec 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Atalanta U23
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Atalanta U23 vs Alcione Milano
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lonardo E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cisse M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Alcione Milano Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopes E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta U23 59 / 100
Alcione Milano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta U23 Alcione Milano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atalanta U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atalanta U23 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Alcione Milano conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Atalanta U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta U23 VS Alcione Milano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta U23
(Home) 20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2 Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
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20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2 Ravenna
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Pescara
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0 Monopoli
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Alcione Milano
(Away) 27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1 Treviso
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27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
30 Aug
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0 Alcione Milano
30 Jul
Mantova
6 : 2 Alcione Milano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
