Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atalanta U23 vs Audace Cerignola

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Levak S.
12' Event
Cortinovis A.
15'
Misitano G.

AI Match Summary

Atalanta U23 in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atalanta U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Atalanta U23
15%
Draws
37%
Audace Cerignola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Audace Cerignola have won more games recently than Atalanta U23.
  • Model gives Audace Cerignola a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U23 Audace Cerignola
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Atalanta U23 vs Audace Cerignola
3:2
Nov 1, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta U23
2:4
May 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta U23
2:2
May 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Atalanta U23 vs Audace Cerignola
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Levak S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cortinovis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitale G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parlato C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 27 / 100
Audace Cerignola 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U23 Audace Cerignola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Atalanta U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Audace Cerignola let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Atalanta U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS Audace Cerignola
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U23

(Home)
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
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Audace Cerignola

(Away)
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)