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Atalanta U23 vs Vis Pesaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atalanta U23 host Vis Pesaro in the Serie C - Group B. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Atalanta U23 have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Vis Pesaro's 1 scored and 1.83 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.31) point toward Atalanta U23. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Atalanta U23
15%
Draws
28%
Vis Pesaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atalanta U23 come out ahead of Vis Pesaro on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Atalanta U23 taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U23 Vis Pesaro
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 41 / 100
Vis Pesaro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U23 Vis Pesaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vis Pesaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atalanta U23 scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Vis Pesaro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atalanta U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS Vis Pesaro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U23

(Home)
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2
Atalanta U23
14 Oct
Latina
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
11 Oct
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Atalanta U23
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
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Vis Pesaro

(Away)
18 Oct
Latina
1 : 0
Vis Pesaro
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Grosseto
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Pineto 10 2 5 3 8:11 11
16 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
17 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)