Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Mendy P.
Assist: Adopo M.
41'
41'
Scamacca G.
Assist: De Ketelaere C.
57'
57'
Sub
Fazzini J. In: Fadera A.
Out: Fazzini J.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A game between Atalanta and Cagliari finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cagliari.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Atalanta's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Cagliari have produced (1).
- Win probability leans Atalanta's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 20%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie A
Atalanta vs Cagliari
1:2
Apr 27, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Atalanta
3:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Cagliari
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Cagliari
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Atalanta
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Scamacca G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Cagliari Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendy P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta 42 / 100
Cagliari 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta Cagliari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atalanta scored in 82% of their last 33 games.
Defensive concern: Cagliari conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Atalanta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta VS Cagliari
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta
(Home) 20 Sept
Juventus
2 : 0 Atalanta
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
20 Aug
Atalanta
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 4
Cagliari
(Away) 19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1 Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0 Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2 Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1 Inter
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1 Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
22 Aug
Parma
0 : 1 Cagliari
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2 Cagliari
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0 Cagliari
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
