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Atalanta vs Frosinone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atalanta host Frosinone in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atalanta have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Frosinone's 2 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Atalanta have won 3 to Frosinone's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2024, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Frosinone. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Atalanta
15%
Draws
53%
Frosinone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frosinone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frosinone lately — more wins on the board than Atalanta.
  • Model gives Atalanta a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 18%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Frosinone
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.4 2
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Frosinone
5:0
Aug 26, 2023 Serie A
Frosinone vs Atalanta
2:1
Jan 20, 2019 Serie A
Frosinone vs Atalanta
0:5
Aug 20, 2018 Serie A
Atalanta vs Frosinone
4:0
Jan 23, 2016 Serie A
Frosinone vs Atalanta
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 41 / 100
Frosinone 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Frosinone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Frosinone conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Atalanta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Frosinone
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
15 Oct
Atalanta
3 : 1
Pafos
12 Oct
Atalanta
3 : 1
Venezia
20 Sept
Juventus
2 : 0
Atalanta
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
Page 1 of 6

Frosinone

(Away)
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2
Sassuolo
10 Oct
Napoli
3 : 0
Frosinone
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
6 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
7 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
8 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
9 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)