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Atalanta vs Inter - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atalanta host Inter in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Inter have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Atalanta have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, Atalanta have won 0 to Inter's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 2.19) back Inter to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Atalanta
20%
Draws
69%
Inter
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter lately — more wins on the board than Atalanta.
  • Win probability leans Inter's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inter here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Inter
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.43 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie A
Inter vs Atalanta
1:1
Dec 28, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Inter
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Inter
0:2
Jan 2, 2025 Super Cup
Inter vs Atalanta
2:0
Aug 30, 2024 Serie A
Inter vs Atalanta
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 10 / 100
Inter 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Inter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atalanta scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Inter's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Atalanta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Inter
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
02 Nov
Atalanta
0 : 3
Parma
29 Oct
Fiorentina
2 : 2
Atalanta
25 Oct
Atalanta
4 : 4
Frosinone
22 Oct
Ajax
2 : 0
Atalanta
18 Oct
AC Milan
3 : 2
Atalanta
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Inter

(Away)
03 Nov
Feyenoord
0 : 3
Inter
31 Oct
AC Milan
3 : 1
Inter
28 Oct
Venezia
0 : 2
Inter
25 Oct
Inter
2 : 1
Fiorentina
21 Oct
Inter
1 : 0
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)