Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Italy Italy

Serie A New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Raspadori G.
Assist: Gaetano G.
55' Event
Odenthal C.
60'
Sub
Zalewski N. In: De Ketelaere C.
Out: Zalewski N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Atalanta and Sassuolo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Atalanta
15%
Draws
53%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Sassuolo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atalanta a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 20%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Sassuolo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Atalanta
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
3:0
Jan 3, 2024 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Sassuolo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Raspadori G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krstovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Odenthal C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 85 / 100
Sassuolo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atalanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Sassuolo conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Atalanta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Sassuolo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
20 Sept
Juventus
2 : 0
Atalanta
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1
Atalanta
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Sassuolo

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)