Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atalanta vs Torino

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
De Ketelaere C.
Assist: Bernasconi L.
25'
Tameze A.
44'
Sub
Djimsiti B. In: Hien I.
Out: Djimsiti B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Atalanta and Torino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atalanta
15%
Draws
34%
Torino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torino come out ahead of Atalanta on wins alone.
  • Atalanta are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 68%
Torino Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Torino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Serie A
Atalanta vs Torino
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie A
Torino vs Atalanta
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Torino
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Serie A
Torino vs Atalanta
2:1
May 26, 2024 Serie A
Atalanta vs Torino
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta Compare

Top Goalscorer De Ketelaere C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasalic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Torino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 59 / 100
Torino 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Torino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atalanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Torino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Torino's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Torino
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
20 Sept
Juventus
2 : 0
Atalanta
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1
Atalanta
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Torino

(Away)
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)